Article – PADO https://pado.or.tz Fri, 01 Nov 2024 12:22:56 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.7.2 https://pado.or.tz/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/PADO-ICON-01.svg Article – PADO https://pado.or.tz 32 32 230846068 Witchcraft beliefs and conspiracy theorizing: Evidencefrom Tanzania and cross-national datasets https://pado.or.tz/2024/11/01/witchcraft-beliefs-and-conspiracy-theorizing-evidencefrom-tanzania-and-cross-national-datasets/ https://pado.or.tz/2024/11/01/witchcraft-beliefs-and-conspiracy-theorizing-evidencefrom-tanzania-and-cross-national-datasets/#respond Fri, 01 Nov 2024 12:18:46 +0000 https://pado.or.tz/?p=1492
Policy Analysis and Development Organisation

Linking Theory with Practice

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The conditional effects of party system change on economic growth in Africa https://pado.or.tz/2024/10/28/the-conditional-effects-of-party-system-change-on-economic-growth-in-africa/ https://pado.or.tz/2024/10/28/the-conditional-effects-of-party-system-change-on-economic-growth-in-africa/#respond Mon, 28 Oct 2024 08:47:34 +0000 https://pado.or.tz/?p=1466
Policy Analysis and Development Organisation

Linking Theory with Practice

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Securitization of the mining sector? The role of the armed forces in state interventions in Tanzania. https://pado.or.tz/2024/03/08/securitization-of-the-mining-sector-the-role-of-the-armed-forces-in-state-interventions-in-tanzania/ https://pado.or.tz/2024/03/08/securitization-of-the-mining-sector-the-role-of-the-armed-forces-in-state-interventions-in-tanzania/#respond Fri, 08 Mar 2024 01:54:09 +0000 https://pado.or.tz/?p=1200
Policy Analysis and Development Organisation
Linking Theory with Practice

Securitization of the mining sector? The role of the armed forces in state interventions in Tanzania

  • In recent years the military has been involved in Tanzania’s ASM sector.
  • Military agencies have been used partly as a cost-saving approach (e.g. in construction projects).
  • The military are most visible in sub-sectors with material and discursive value to the state.
  • Securitization was linked to resource nationalism in both ASM and LSM.

The role of the military in the mining sector in sub-Saharan Africa has been primarily examined through the lens of securitization of the artisanal and small-scale mining sector. In many cases, the military have been part of state-led efforts to prevent informal mining. We apply a theoretical framework based on three elements (securitization of the mining sector, the nature of civil–military relations, and the nature of military involvement in the mining sector) to the case of Tanzania, and argue that the securitization concept has some salience in the Tanzania case, but that military involvement in mining can also be viewed as part of broader strategies of the state to promote industrialization, through state-owned enterprises, including military-owned companies. Recent military involvement in mining coincided with a government turn towards resource nationalism, and we conclude that military involvement is linked to discourses and practices of resource nationalism in Tanzania.

The role of the military in the mining sector in sub-Saharan Africa has been primarily examined through the lens of securitization of the sector (Johnson, 2019; Hilson, 2017; Saunders, 2014; Schroeder, 2010). In many cases, the military have been part of state-led efforts to prevent informal mining. In Ghana, for example, several taskforces involving the army have been formed since 2000 (Eduful et al., 2020), and a ‘crackdown’ on Artisanal and Small-scale Mining (ASM) was launched in 2017. In his analysis of the crackdown, Hilson (2017) contrasts the Ghanaian government approach with the strategies of the Tanzanian Government, which avoided such active enforcement and focused instead on facilitating formalization of ASM. In recent years, however, the role of the military in Tanzania’s ASM sector has become more visible. In this article, therefore, we ask to what extent the ‘securitization’ concept might be useful in understanding the role of the military in Tanzania’s ASM sector, relative to other concepts (such as the role of the military in commercial activities; or the use of the military in public infrastructure projects to reduce costs).

 

The state generally has an interest in closely regulating and policing the exploitation, processing and trade in high value minerals and metals because of their economic significance and wider trade linkages, and the frequency of local disputes and conflicts associated with extractivism. Scholars such as Selwyn (2022) and Gómez-Barris (2017) have documented how zones of large-scale extractivism are typically secured through surveillance, controls over movement, and dispossession of indigenous and/or local communities, often through mobilization of state security agencies. Beyond initial dispossession of land and natural resources, local communities also face pollution and disruption to socio-cultural norms due to the operations of large-scale mines. Given that many mine sites produce commodities vital to the military-industrial complex (such as metals used in computing systems), Selywn coins the term “martial mining” to explain “the co-production of extractivism and militarism: established and expanded through multi-dimensional warfare, extractive zones simultaneously materialize the arms trade and global military powers” (2022: pg 145). Large-scale extractivism is enmeshed in highly organized forms of militarized control over particular areas and specific flows of commodities. Literature on artisanal and small-scale production, which is in contrast highly dispersed across large areas and less predictable in terms of productivity, tends to emphasize the more sporadic and fragmented forms of intervention by security agencies (Li, 2023; McDonald, 2023; Velez-Torres, 2014).

 

We examine the direct and ‘official’ involvement of military actors in mining production activities during peacetime; for example, in managing mining activities at extraction sites, providing security in and around mines, and participation in governance institutions in the mining sector. The paper is based partly on interviews and observations from fieldwork conducted in October and November 2018 in Dar es Salaam, Arusha, Manyara, and Dodoma, involving civil society organizations including professional associations within the gemstone sector; civil servants, politicians; large-scale mine operators, members of the private sector and ASM operators. We argue that the securitization concept has some salience in the Tanzania case, but that military involvement in mining can also be viewed as part of broader strategies of the state to promote industrialization, through state-owned enterprises (SOEs), including military-owned companies (Behuria, 2012). Recent military involvement in mining coincided with a government turn towards ‘Resource Nationalism’ (RN), and military involvement is linked to discourses and practices of RN in Tanzania.

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Women’s employment status and domestic violence in Tanzania: How do they link? https://pado.or.tz/2020/07/08/womens-employment-status-and-domestic-violence-in-tanzania-how-do-they-link/ https://pado.or.tz/2020/07/08/womens-employment-status-and-domestic-violence-in-tanzania-how-do-they-link/#respond Wed, 08 Jul 2020 01:27:42 +0000 https://pado.or.tz/?p=1182
Policy Analysis and Development Organisation
Linking Theory with Practice

Women’s employment status and domestic violence in Tanzania: How do they link?

Domestic violence is a crime that affects women across the world. Tanzania is no exception. However, only a few studies have examined the relationship between domestic violence and women’s employment status in Tanzania. Moreover, such studies have methodological limitations. Using a 2-stage linear probability model on a nationally representative sample, this study shows that the impact of women’s employment status on reducing domestic violence is much greater if endogeneity is controlled for. We conclude by arguing that there is a need for policies that enhance women’s employability and we call for greater rigour in research analysis to avoid drawing misleading conclusions.

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‘Centres of excellence’ for artisanal and small-scale gold mining in Tanzania: Assumptions around artisanal entrepreneurship and formalization https://pado.or.tz/2020/04/08/centres-of-excellence-for-artisanal-and-small-scale-gold-mining-in-tanzania-assumptions-around-artisanal-entrepreneurship-and-formalization/ https://pado.or.tz/2020/04/08/centres-of-excellence-for-artisanal-and-small-scale-gold-mining-in-tanzania-assumptions-around-artisanal-entrepreneurship-and-formalization/#respond Wed, 08 Apr 2020 01:08:13 +0000 https://pado.or.tz/?p=1171
Policy Analysis and Development Organisation
Linking Theory with Practice

‘Centres of excellence’ for artisanal and small-scale gold mining in Tanzania: Assumptions around artisanal entrepreneurship and formalization

  • Training and demonstration centres are part of strategies to formalize ASM.
  • In sub-Saharan Africa, such centres have a mixed record of success.
  • In 2019 Tanzania established four training, processing and demonstration centres.
  • The Tanzanian centres are partly based on assumptions that ASM is entrepreneurial.
  • Success of the centres in facilitating formalization will depend on affordability and flexibility.
  • The centres may not succeed if they are linked to coercive forms of formalization.
The Africa Mining Vision reiterates the importance of training centres or ‘centres of excellence’ (COEs) for artisanal and small-scale mining but historically, these have had mixed results, partly due to a lack of understanding of demand for services. Recently, understanding of artisanal and small-scale mining (ASM) organizational and financial structures has improved, allowing for a more nuanced comparison of formalization policies that emphasize the ‘entrepreneurial’ nature of ASM operators and those that foreground the importance of poverty as a driving factor. With World Bank support, Tanzania has recently established several COEs including two for the artisanal and small-scale gold mining sector. This article examines the potentials of these centres, based on key informant interviews, as well as a literature review of experiences from other African countries. Further, we analyse activities planned at COEs, within the Tanzanian institutional and policy context, which tends to treat ASM as ‘entrepreneurs’. We explore implications of the Tanzanian approach for potential formalization of ASM and transformation of ASM operators into medium-scale mining firms; and identify some institutional tensions and risks involved in implementing the COE approach.

Formalizing artisanal and small-scale mining (ASM), rather than criminalizing it, is now generally accepted as a global ‘best practice’ by major organizations and governments (e.g. African Union, 2009; UNITAR and UN Environment, 2018; World Bank, 2019a). Over decades, governments and donor organizations have established training and demonstration centres as part of the formalization process. Indeed, the Africa Mining Vision reiterates the importance of training centres or ‘centres of excellence’ (COEs) (African Union, 2009). Historically, these have had mixed results, partly due to limited understanding of ASM demand for particular services (Hilson, 2007). In recent years, understanding of ASM organizational and financial structures has improved. In most mining operations there are multiple ‘tiers’ of actors involved, including a small number of financial backers and paid managers, and a much larger number of workers who are paid little or are eventually rewarded with a share of the mine site’s production. This understanding allows for more nuanced discussion of tensions within the formalization literature, which is divided into organizations that emphasize a) the ‘entrepreneurial’ nature of ASM operators (particularly financers and managers) or b) poverty as a driving factor (i.e. lack of alternative livelihood options for poorly-paid workers).

 

With World Bank support, Tanzania recently established several COEs including two for the artisanal and small-scale gold mining (ASGM) sector. Because the majority of COEs address the gold sector, this paper focuses on ASGM. Gold is one of Tanzania’s most economically significant exports. ASM accounts for about 10 percent of Tanzania’s gold production (World Bank, 2015). This article examines the potentials of these centres, based on key informant interviews and a literature review of experiences from other African countries. Further, we analyse activities planned at COEs, within the Tanzanian institutional and policy context. Our study focuses on financial sustainability, technical capacity, and institutional connections of the COEs; demand for COE services, and whether COE services will stimulate ASM formalization. Recognizing that many formalization strategies implicitly make assumptions about ASM (e.g. its poverty-driven or ‘entrepreneurial’ nature), we explore implications of the Tanzanian approach for ASGM operators potentially transforming into medium-scale mining (MSM) firms.

 

Formalization initiatives can be categorized according to their emphasis on the most common issues: legal (acquisition of permits; environmental, health and safety requirements; labour laws etc.); technical (access to geological data; use of efficient equipment; processing, etc.); institutional (capacity-building and expansion of cooperatives or associations, with a view to facilitate monitoring and coordination); financial (payments of fees and taxes, capitalization of mining operations, etc.) (see e.g. UNITAR and UN Environment, 2018). Formalization programmes focusing on legal issues to the exclusion of others can be characterized as promoting ‘legalization’, also called “paper formalization” (World Bank, 2015: 13); efforts to institutionalize mining can also be legalistic if they only focus on increasing membership of organizations, and documentation, without considering the quality of institutional governance. On the other hand, projects which focus mainly on technical issues without accounting for contextual issues, risk failure (e.g., miners may lack capital to maintain equipment, or may not share the environmental, health and safety goals promoted by the project). Projects focusing on financial aspects will tend only to benefit certain actors unless they also invest in institutional reforms to ensure that benefits are more widely distributed.

 

Moreover, formalization can have unintended consequences, including, “exclusion, inequality, and exploitation of labour” (UNITAR and UN Environment, 2018: 11). Impacts are often gendered, with men and women being differently positioned (e.g. through educational opportunities, access to capital) to apply for licenses, loans, cooperative membership, and other requirements (Bashwira et al., 2014; Hilson et al., 2014). Although the gender dynamics of ASM may be slowly changing, women tend to have access only to lower-paying opportunities (washing, rock-breaking, etc.), and may be more vulnerable to job losses due to mechanization. There are, therefore, important debates over how formalization efforts should be designed and implemented.

 

ASM operators, stigmatized for decades as primitive, anarchic and destructive (Childs, 2014), are increasingly being taken seriously as businesspeople. The different roles of pre-financers, pit owners or managers, paid workers, and workers operating under production sharing agreements (PSAs) have become clearer in recent years.1 While the exact organizational structure varies, some typical organizational characteristics can be identified: “contrary to the entrenched notion of ASM as a purely poverty-driven, economically irrational and disorganised activity, it is governed by complex organisational models” (Merket, 2018: 27). Some scholars have noted a three-tiered structure, including a) site owners (possibly primary mineral license holders), b) pit owners, and c) teams of workers (Brycesson and Jønsson, 2013; Jønsson and Fold, 2013). Site owners tend to simply lease mines to pit managers, though they may operate in the background as financiers. Day-to-day management typically depends on pit owners, who pay specialist employees (e.g. mechanics), purchase equipment, and pay other operational expenses. The workers – by far the largest group – typically depend on PSAs. There are also mineral brokers and dealers. In reality, some individuals may play more than one role (i.e. dealers may pre-finance ASM, functioning as site owners).

 

Due to the informal nature of these arrangements, workers are particularly vulnerable to financial exploitation, and face most of the physical risk. The large number of ‘workers’ performing risky and precarious labour leads some to argue that, “international development institutions now widely agree that ASM is largely a poverty-driven activity” (Mutagwaba et al., 2018:17). At the same time, there is some awareness of the key role of site owners, pit owners, and other capitalized entrepreneurial individuals.

 

Understanding ASM organizational structures allows us to apply organization and management theory to the study of ASM. Many formalization efforts aim to facilitate ASM to become more productive and invest surplus profit in various forms of capital (human, technological, financial, etc.) to ‘grow’ businesses and move towards MSM operations. The growth of businesses has been analysed in several disciplines in the past half-century (see e.g. Machado, 2016; Achtenhagen et al., 2010; Jovanovich, 1982; Lucas, 1978; Penrose, 1959). Generally, three models are used to explain why businesses ‘grow’. The most basic one, provided by econometricians, is the stochastic model. Under this model, the size of a firm is a result of cumulative random shocks over time such that growth reflects a stochastic (random) process (Machado, 2016). The second concept is the Human Capital Model (HCM). Penrose (1959) shows that HCM is governed by two arguments. On the one hand it is governed by ‘resource push’ arguments suggesting that a firm possesses a set of administrative skills which it needs to run the firm. On the other hand, the firm is bound by managerial limits:growth is constrained by the organizational and entrepreneurial capacity of managers. Indeed, according to Penrose, 2009 [1959]), expansion is a function of ‘managerial capacity’. Penrose also mentions challenges specific to small businesses, especially access to capital (pg. 192). Penrose further cautions against assuming that profit maximization is synonymous with growth (Penrose, 2009 [1959]: xxviii). Lucas (1978) adds that the HCM assumes that entrepreneurs have certain Knowledge, Skills and Abilities (KSAs) that influence the success of their businesses. The third theory, the Learning Model (Jovanovich, 1982), is the most influential. It recognises that management skills vary among entrepreneurs, and firms have different unobservable efficiencies. Hence the firm’s true efficiency can only be seen after it has started production, and firms update their expectations based on experiences. Revising abilities upwards leads to business growth and downward revisions otherwise.

 

The models above have their subtle differences. However, a common thread across them all is that managerial KSAs are key and learning is crucial to business growth (Arrow, 1962) because the business environment is stochastic (unpredictable). This raises obvious questions for our study: are ASM learning entities? Are they likely to grow and formalize? The three models may not adequately answer these questions, because, in reality, while most small businesses try but fail to grow, some refrain on purpose from expanding. Specifically, apart from a few young businesses with very fast growth (known as ‘gazelles’), most small businesses refrain from growing while others prefer slow growth even when successful in increasing profits (Machado, 2016; Penrose, 2009 [1959]: xxviii). This is mostly because there are benefits from remaining small and informal, including avoiding taxes and stringent labour laws, using PSAs to avoid high operating costs, and quickly adjusting staffing arrangements in response to contextual changes (i.e. financial challenges, low productivity). Rather than assuming that ASM operators maintain informal arrangements due to ignorance or necessity, we should observe how, “informal economy actors systematically reposition themselves vis-a-vis the State, markets, international and national policies to secure their livelihoods” (Lapeyre, 2013). We should not assume that ASM operators always prioritize growth or formalization; nor should we conflate these two concepts.

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Citizens’ Trust in Government and Their Greater Willingness to Pay Taxes in Tanzania: A Case Study of Mtwara, Lindi, and Dar es Salaam Regions https://pado.or.tz/2020/03/28/citizens-trust-in-government-and-their-greater-willingness-to-pay-taxes-in-tanzania-a-case-study-of-mtwara-lindi-and-dar-es-salaam-regions/ https://pado.or.tz/2020/03/28/citizens-trust-in-government-and-their-greater-willingness-to-pay-taxes-in-tanzania-a-case-study-of-mtwara-lindi-and-dar-es-salaam-regions/#respond Sat, 28 Mar 2020 00:37:44 +0000 https://pado.or.tz/?p=1145
Policy Analysis and Development Organisation
Linking Theory with Practice

Citizens' Trust in Government and Their Greater Willingness to Pay Taxes in Tanzania: A Case Study of Mtwara, Lindi, and Dar es Salaam Regions

This article examines the citizens’ trust in government and their willingness to pay taxes to improve public goods/services in Tanzania. Descriptive statistics show that 79.4 percent of the citizens trust the government. The findings show that a citizen’s trust in government varies positively and significantly with the quality of public goods/services. An increase of one unit of public service delivery is associated with an increase in a citizen’s trust in the government. A χ2 test shows a significant association between a citizen’s trust in the government and willingness to pay more taxes for improved public services. About 91.3 percent of citizens were willing to pay more taxes if public services were improved. A higher level of citizens’ trust in government and good quality of public service delivery encourage greater willingness to pay taxes in order to improve public services. Therefore, targeting public policies toward dissatisfied citizens is critical to making a stronger impact on trust in government.

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